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UCL Home  /  Geography  /  News & Events  /  News  /  News Archive  /  January 2014  /  Little evidence for migration influx from Bulgaria and Romania

Little evidence for migration influx from Bulgaria and Romania

John Salt: Migrants more likely to be health providers than consumers

Little evidence for migration influx from Bulgaria and Romania

Over the New Year period Professor John Salt gave four BBC radio interviews on Bulgarian and Romanian migration.

Of particular news concern was how many migrants might arrive from these countries in the first days and weeks after January 1st. It seems that John had the only hard statistics on this, acquired from a Bulgarian colleague. These were data from the major air carrier from Bulgaria, showing that advance bookings to the UK for the first quarter of 2014 were 3 per cent DOWN on the equivalent period last year. Other airlines operating between the two countries were not planning to put on extra flights.

John also voiced the concern of migration and government specialists from the two countries that, although they were not expecting substantial numbers to leave (most who wanted to had already moved to the UK), those who might do so were likely to be more skilled people, especially medical personnel.

The irony is that, although the UK government has expressed concern about people being attracted to the country to use the health service, Bulgarians and Romanians may well come as health providers rather than consumers.


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Professor John Salt


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